Iraqi League — Iraq
Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 12:00 • Franso Hariri Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.19) 0.78 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.8% 31.8% 26.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.7%
0 - 0
15.6%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Al Talaba
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erbil 0 15.6% 12.2% 4.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.7% 13.1% 5.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.0% 7.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricErbilAl Talaba
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack42%58%
Defense83%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Erbil Al Talaba
HATHAT
Played76137512
Wins86%50%69%71%40%58%
Draws14%33%23%14%20%17%
Loses0%17%8%14%40%25%

Form: Erbil: WWDWWWWDWDWWL • Al Talaba: WDWLWLWDWWWL

League goals

Metric Erbil Al Talaba
HATHAT
GF total117189615
GF avg1.61.21.41.31.21.3
GA total538448
GA avg0.70.50.60.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineErbilAl Talaba
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%54%83%50%
1.546%8%33%17%
2.515%0%8%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricErbilAl Talaba
HATHAT
Clean sheets336426
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricErbilAl Talaba
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricErbilAl Talaba
Wins43
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-32-00-3
Biggest losses—1-01-22-1
Goals For3323
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricErbilAl Talaba
Form50%50%
Att42%58%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total43.3%56.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Al Talaba and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Superbet
Draw2.80 @ Bet365
Away3.05 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Superbet
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.82 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Erbil = 1.07 (league 1.19), Al Talaba = 0.78 (league 1.07)

Al Talaba
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erbil 0 15.6% 12.2% 4.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.7% 13.1% 5.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.0% 7.1% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.8% · Draw 31.8% · Away win 26.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1