PSV U19 vs AZ U19

U19 Divisie 1 — Netherlands

Sat, May 2 2026 • 12:30 • Venue TBA

Not Started

PSV U19

—

AZ U19

Expected Goals

1.47 (league 2.20) 1.83 (league 1.77)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
30.6%	22.6%	45.2%

best score tips

1 - 1

9.9%

1 - 2

9.1%

2 - 1

7.3%

Score & goals probability table

		AZ U19
		0	1	2	3	4	5
PSV U19	0	3.7%	6.8%	6.2%	3.8%	1.7%	0.6%
	1	5.4%	9.9%	9.1%	5.6%	2.5%	0.9%
	2	4.0%	7.3%	6.7%	4.1%	1.9%	0.7%
	3	1.9%	3.6%	3.3%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%
	4	0.7%	1.3%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%
	5	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: PSV U19 +35.9, AZ U19 +12.2.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

PSV U19 Elo 1561.7 · +35.9

AZ U19 Elo 1609.1 · +12.2

Elo gapAZ U19 +12

Home / draw / away34% / 29% / 37%

Expected home share48%

Combined Elo3170.8

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3170.8

Elo home share 48%

Match tone Must Watch

Metric	PSV U19	AZ U19
Overall Elo	1561.7	1609.1
Form Elo	1565.2	1626.6
Home / Away Elo	1515.2	1532.2
Attack Elo	1667.4	1756.2
Defense Elo	1491.9	1509.7
Last 5 Elo change	+35.9	+12.2

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. PSV U19 last-5 Elo change: +35.9; AZ U19 last-5 Elo change: +12.2.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	PSV U19	AZ U19
Played	5	5
Form	80%	67%
Attack	58%	46%
Defense	73%	58%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	15 \| 3	12 \| 2.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	11 \| 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

77%

FT probability

3.5+

55%

FT probability

BTTS

82%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	PSV U19			AZ U19
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	12	13	25	11	11	22
Wins	58%	54%	56%	73%	64%	68%
Draws	17%	15%	16%	9%	18%	14%
Loses	25%	31%	28%	18%	18%	18%

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AZ U19WWWWDLLWWDWWWWLWWDLWWW

League goals

Metric	PSV U19			AZ U19
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	28	26	54	31	27	58
GF avg	2.3	2.0	2.2	2.8	2.5	2.6
GA total	15	24	39	19	15	34
GA avg	1.3	1.8	1.6	1.7	1.4	1.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	PSV U19		AZ U19
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	84%	88%	91%	82%
1.5	64%	44%	82%	50%
2.5	44%	20%	50%	23%
3.5	12%	4%	36%	0%
4.5	8%	0%	5%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	PSV U19			AZ U19
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	1	3	2	2	4
Failed to score	3	1	4	0	2	2

Penalties

Metric	PSV U19	AZ U19
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	PSV U19	AZ U19
Wins	3	4
Draws	2	1
Losses	1	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	6-1	0-3	4-1	1-5
Biggest losses	0-4	3-0	1-3	3-0
Goals For	6	4	4	5
Goals Against	4	3	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	PSV U19	AZ U19
Form	55%	45%
Att	56%	44%
Def	61%	39%
Poisson Distribution	45%	55%
H2h	20%	80%
Goals	20%	80%
Total	42.8%	57.2%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • PSV U19 vs AZ U19

Metric	PSV U19	AZ U19
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0