2. Division
— Cyprus
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Makario Stadium
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.48)
0.96 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.0% | 23.0% | 19.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
11.4%
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| AE Zakakiou | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Digenis Morphou | 0 | 6.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 10.9% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Digenis Morphou carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 84 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Digenis Morphou -21.1, AE Zakakiou -12.3.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Digenis Morphou
vs
AE Zakakiou
Elo gapDigenis Morphou +84
Home / draw / away49% / 20% / 31%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo2867.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2867.2
Elo home share
62%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Digenis Morphou | AE Zakakiou |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1458.3 | 1408.9 |
| Form Elo | 1452 | 1404 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1478.9 | 1451.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1558.7 | 1435.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1440.7 | 1360.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -21.1 | -12.3 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Digenis Morphou last-5 Elo change: -21.1; AE Zakakiou last-5 Elo change: -12.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Digenis Morphou | AE Zakakiou |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 13% | 53% |
| Defense | 60% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Digenis Morphou | AE Zakakiou | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 36% | 43% | 39% | 21% | 21% | 21% |
| Draws | 21% | 14% | 18% | 36% | 14% | 25% |
| Loses | 43% | 43% | 43% | 43% | 64% | 54% |
Digenis MorphouWWLWLDLDWWLLWLLWDDLLWWWLDLWL
AE ZakakiouLLLLDLWLDDLWLLDWLLDDWLDLLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Digenis Morphou | AE Zakakiou | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 25 | 44 | 20 | 11 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 21 | 16 | 37 | 25 | 26 | 51 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Digenis Morphou | AE Zakakiou | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 61% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 46% | 36% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 7% | 11% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 4% | 4% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Digenis Morphou | AE Zakakiou | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Digenis Morphou | AE Zakakiou |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Digenis Morphou | AE Zakakiou |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-4 | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 3-0 | 2-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Digenis Morphou | AE Zakakiou |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 68% | 32% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 48.2% | 51.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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