Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 19:45 • McDiarmid Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 2.33) 0.05 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.7% 42.1% 2.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
40.4%
1 - 0
34.6%
2 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
Ayr Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Johnstone 0 40.4% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 34.6% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricST JohnstoneAyr Utd
Played22
Form100%100%
Attack23%46%
Defense100%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.56 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 02 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ST Johnstone Ayr Utd
HATHAT
Played112202
Wins100%100%100%100%—100%
Draws0%0%0%0%—0%
Loses0%0%0%0%—0%

Form: ST Johnstone: WW • Ayr Utd: WW

League goals

Metric ST Johnstone Ayr Utd
HATHAT
GF total213606
GF avg2.01.01.53.00.03.0
GA total000202
GA avg0.00.00.01.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineST JohnstoneAyr Utd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.550%0%100%0%
2.50%0%50%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricST JohnstoneAyr Utd
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricST JohnstoneAyr Utd
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricST JohnstoneAyr Utd
Wins22
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-14-1—
Biggest losses————
Goals For2140
Goals Against0010

Model comparison

MetricST JohnstoneAyr Utd
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : ST Johnstone or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away5.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ SBO
Under 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ST Johnstone = 0.86 (league 2.33), Ayr Utd = 0.05 (league 1.48)

Ayr Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
ST Johnstone 0 40.4% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 34.6% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.7% · Draw 42.1% · Away win 2.1%

vtt 2 , vtd1