Wed, Feb 4 2026 • 20:15 • Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.67) 0.96 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.2% 34.0% 39.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.8%
0 - 1
18.0%
1 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Torreense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fafe 0 18.8% 18.0% 8.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.4% 12.9% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.8% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFafeTorreense
Played55
Form100%100%
Attack58%92%
Defense83%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fafe Torreense
HATHAT
Played325235
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Fafe: WWWWW • Torreense: WWWWW

League goals

Metric Fafe Torreense
HATHAT
GF total5275611
GF avg1.71.01.42.52.02.2
GA total202224
GA avg0.70.00.41.00.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFafeTorreense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%40%100%80%
1.540%0%80%0%
2.50%0%40%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFafeTorreense
HATHAT
Clean sheets123011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricFafeTorreense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFafeTorreense
Wins55
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-13-11-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For2133
Goals Against1011

Model comparison

MetricFafeTorreense
Form50%50%
Att39%61%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Torreense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away2.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.93 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fafe = 0.71 (league 1.67), Torreense = 0.96 (league 1.46)

Torreense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fafe 0 18.8% 18.0% 8.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.4% 12.9% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 4.8% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.2% · Draw 34.0% · Away win 39.8%

vtt 2 , vtd1