Thu, Feb 19 2026 • 17:45 • Tammela Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.61) 1.01 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.0% 24.8% 23.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
11.7%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Lech Poznan
0 1 2 3 4 5
KuPS 0 7.2% 7.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.7% 11.8% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.5% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.1% 5.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKuPSLech Poznan
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack42%67%
Defense67%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KuPS Lech Poznan
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%0%17%67%33%50%
Draws67%67%67%33%0%17%
Loses0%33%17%0%67%33%

Form: KuPS: DDWLDD • Lech Poznan: WLLWDW

League goals

Metric KuPS Lech Poznan
HATHAT
GF total4267512
GF avg1.30.71.02.31.72.0
GA total235268
GA avg0.71.00.80.72.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKuPSLech Poznan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%67%100%83%
1.533%17%67%33%
2.517%0%17%17%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKuPSLech Poznan
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score123000

Penalties

MetricKuPSLech Poznan
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricKuPSLech Poznan
Wins11
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—4-11-2
Biggest losses—1-0—3-2
Goals For3242
Goals Against1213

Model comparison

MetricKuPSLech Poznan
Form46%54%
Att38%62%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : KuPS or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.76 @ 1xBet
Draw4.36 @ 1xBet
Away1.56 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.93 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): KuPS = 1.62 (league 1.61), Lech Poznan = 1.01 (league 1.18)

Lech Poznan
0 1 2 3 4 5
KuPS 0 7.2% 7.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.7% 11.8% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.5% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.1% 5.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.0% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 23.5%

vtt 2 , vtd1