Thu, Feb 19 2026 • 17:45 • Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.64) 1.90 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.4% 21.0% 36.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
7.8%
2 - 1
7.7%
1 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
AZ Alkmaar
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Noah 0 2.1% 3.9% 3.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
1 4.1% 7.8% 7.4% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.0% 7.7% 7.3% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
3 2.7% 5.1% 4.8% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
4 1.3% 2.5% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC NoahAZ Alkmaar
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack42%58%
Defense42%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Noah AZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
Played4486612
Wins75%25%50%83%50%67%
Draws0%50%25%17%0%8%
Loses25%25%25%0%50%25%

Form: FC Noah: WWWDLDWL • AZ Alkmaar: LWWWWWLWLWWD

League goals

Metric FC Noah AZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
GF total7613151025
GF avg1.81.51.62.51.72.1
GA total551011112
GA avg1.31.31.30.21.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC NoahAZ Alkmaar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%83%33%
1.538%38%58%25%
2.525%0%42%25%
3.513%0%17%17%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC NoahAZ Alkmaar
HATHAT
Clean sheets101538
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricFC NoahAZ Alkmaar
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFC NoahAZ Alkmaar
Wins35
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-45-00-3
Biggest losses1-22-0—4-0
Goals For3453
Goals Against2214

Model comparison

MetricFC NoahAZ Alkmaar
Form33%67%
Att42%58%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AZ Alkmaar

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away1.98 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.34 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Pinnacle
No2.34 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Noah = 1.98 (league 1.64), AZ Alkmaar = 1.90 (league 1.16)

AZ Alkmaar
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Noah 0 2.1% 3.9% 3.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
1 4.1% 7.8% 7.4% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.0% 7.7% 7.3% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
3 2.7% 5.1% 4.8% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
4 1.3% 2.5% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.4% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 36.6%

vtt 10 , vtd1