Thu, Feb 19 2026 • 20:00 • Toše Proeski Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.61) 0.25 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.2% 34.8% 8.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
28.5%
0 - 0
27.1%
2 - 0
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
Samsunspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shkendija 0 27.1% 6.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.5% 7.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.0% 3.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShkendijaSamsunspor
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack33%75%
Defense75%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shkendija Samsunspor
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%0%33%67%33%50%
Draws33%0%17%0%33%17%
Loses0%100%50%33%33%33%

Form: Shkendija: LWDLWL • Samsunspor: WWWDLL

League goals

Metric Shkendija Samsunspor
HATHAT
GF total4047310
GF avg1.30.00.72.31.01.7
GA total145246
GA avg0.31.30.80.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShkendijaSamsunspor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%67%83%50%
1.517%17%50%50%
2.50%0%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShkendijaSamsunspor
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score033011

Penalties

MetricShkendijaSamsunspor
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricShkendijaSamsunspor
Wins13
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-00-1
Biggest losses—2-01-22-0
Goals For2032
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricShkendijaSamsunspor
Form50%50%
Att31%69%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total56.5%43.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Shkendija or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.55 @ Betano
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away1.97 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ SBO
Under 2.51.71 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Pinnacle
No1.86 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shkendija = 1.05 (league 1.61), Samsunspor = 0.25 (league 1.18)

Samsunspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shkendija 0 27.1% 6.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.5% 7.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.0% 3.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.2% · Draw 34.8% · Away win 8.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1