Thu, Feb 26 2026 • 20:00 • AFAS Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.61) 0.25 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.3% 16.2% 3.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
21.0%
1 - 0
20.8%
3 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
FC Noah
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 10.3% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.8% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.0% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.2% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAZ AlkmaarFC Noah
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack50%42%
Defense67%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AZ Alkmaar FC Noah
HATHAT
Played6713549
Wins83%43%62%80%25%56%
Draws17%0%8%0%50%22%
Loses0%57%31%20%25%22%

Form: AZ Alkmaar: LWWWWWLWLWWDL • FC Noah: WWWDLDWLW

League goals

Metric AZ Alkmaar FC Noah
HATHAT
GF total1510258614
GF avg2.51.41.91.61.51.6
GA total112135510
GA avg0.21.71.01.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAZ AlkmaarFC Noah
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%38%89%78%
1.554%23%33%33%
2.538%23%22%0%
3.515%15%11%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAZ AlkmaarFC Noah
HATHAT
Clean sheets538202
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricAZ AlkmaarFC Noah
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAZ AlkmaarFC Noah
Wins53
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-33-21-4
Biggest losses—4-01-22-0
Goals For5334
Goals Against1422

Model comparison

MetricAZ AlkmaarFC Noah
Form50%50%
Att55%45%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total63.8%36.3%

Advice: Double chance : AZ Alkmaar or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.31 @ Betano
Draw6.35 @ 1xBet
Away10.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.55 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Marathonbet
No1.85 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AZ Alkmaar = 2.02 (league 1.61), FC Noah = 0.25 (league 1.18)

FC Noah
0 1 2 3 4 5
AZ Alkmaar 0 10.3% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.8% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.0% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.2% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.3% · Draw 16.2% · Away win 3.8%

vtt 2 , vtd1