Thu, Feb 26 2026 • 17:45 • Stadio Artemio Franchi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.64) 0.86 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.0% 34.9% 35.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.6%
0 - 1
16.8%
1 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Jagiellonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 19.6% 16.8% 7.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.1% 13.0% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 5.8% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentinaJagiellonia
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack50%25%
Defense58%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentina Jagiellonia
HATHAT
Played4597613
Wins75%60%67%57%33%46%
Draws0%0%0%14%67%38%
Loses25%40%33%29%0%15%

Form: Fiorentina: WWWWLLWLW • Jagiellonia: WWWDWDWDDWLDL

League goals

Metric Fiorentina Jagiellonia
HATHAT
GF total7101711617
GF avg1.82.01.91.61.01.3
GA total4378412
GA avg1.00.60.81.10.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentinaJagiellonia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%56%85%62%
1.567%22%31%23%
2.544%0%15%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentinaJagiellonia
HATHAT
Clean sheets134325
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricFiorentinaJagiellonia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFiorentinaJagiellonia
Wins43
Draws02
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-01-2
Biggest losses0-12-10-3
Goals For3332
Goals Against2231

Model comparison

MetricFiorentinaJagiellonia
Form55%45%
Att67%33%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Fiorentina or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ 1xBet
Draw4.60 @ Betano
Away7.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Betano
Under 2.52.19 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina = 0.77 (league 1.64), Jagiellonia = 0.86 (league 1.16)

Jagiellonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 19.6% 16.8% 7.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.1% 13.0% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 5.8% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.0% · Draw 34.9% · Away win 35.1%

vtt 5 , vtd1