Thu, Feb 26 2026 • 17:45 • Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.61) 0.35 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.2% 19.4% 6.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.3%
2 - 0
18.9%
3 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Shkendija
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samsunspor 0 10.9% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.3% 7.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.9% 6.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.7% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSamsunsporShkendija
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack58%25%
Defense50%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Samsunspor Shkendija
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%50%57%50%0%29%
Draws0%25%14%25%0%14%
Loses33%25%29%25%100%57%

Form: Samsunspor: WWWDLLW • Shkendija: LWDLWLL

League goals

Metric Samsunspor Shkendija
HATHAT
GF total7411404
GF avg2.31.01.61.00.00.6
GA total246246
GA avg0.71.00.90.51.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSamsunsporShkendija
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%43%43%71%
1.543%43%14%14%
2.529%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSamsunsporShkendija
HATHAT
Clean sheets224202
Failed to score011134

Penalties

MetricSamsunsporShkendija
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSamsunsporShkendija
Wins31
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-12-0—
Biggest losses1-22-00-12-0
Goals For3220
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricSamsunsporShkendija
Form64%36%
Att70%30%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Samsunspor or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ 1xBet
Draw5.62 @ 1xBet
Away11.25 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Samsunspor = 1.86 (league 1.61), Shkendija = 0.35 (league 1.18)

Shkendija
0 1 2 3 4 5
Samsunspor 0 10.9% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.3% 7.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.9% 6.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.7% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.2% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 6.3%

vtt 4 , vtd1