Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 12:30 • Bryntirion Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.59) 1.05 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.2% 32.4% 42.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.6%
0 - 0
16.7%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penybont 0 16.7% 17.6% 9.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.3% 13.0% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.5% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPenybontGAP Connah S Quay FC
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack27%100%
Defense27%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Penybont GAP Connah S Quay FC
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins42%50%46%58%58%58%
Draws33%17%25%25%33%29%
Loses25%33%29%17%8%13%

Form: Penybont: WLWWLDWWWWDWLLWLWLDDWDDL • GAP Connah S Quay FC: DLWWLDWLDWWWDWWWWWWWWDDD

League goals

Metric Penybont GAP Connah S Quay FC
HATHAT
GF total152136292251
GF avg1.31.81.52.41.82.1
GA total102737171128
GA avg0.82.31.51.40.91.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePenybontGAP Connah S Quay FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%63%92%71%
1.542%33%67%33%
2.521%21%46%13%
3.517%17%8%0%
4.54%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPenybontGAP Connah S Quay FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets459257
Failed to score448022

Penalties

MetricPenybontGAP Connah S Quay FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total06

Streaks

MetricPenybontGAP Connah S Quay FC
Wins48
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-44-00-3
Biggest losses0-26-01-33-0
Goals For5443
Goals Against2633

Model comparison

MetricPenybontGAP Connah S Quay FC
Form40%60%
Att21%79%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h40%60%
Goals25%75%
Total35.7%64.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or GAP Connah S Quay FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.85 @ 10Bet
Draw3.38 @ Pinnacle
Away2.06 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Penybont = 0.74 (league 1.59), GAP Connah S Quay FC = 1.05 (league 1.37)

GAP Connah S Quay FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penybont 0 16.7% 17.6% 9.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.3% 13.0% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.5% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.2% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 42.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1