Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 14:30 • The Oval
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.58) 1.41 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.4% 21.7% 26.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.4%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 0
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Barry Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caernarfon Town 0 3.3% 4.7% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.6% 9.4% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.3% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.4% 6.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.2% 3.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaernarfon TownBarry Town
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack56%78%
Defense44%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caernarfon Town Barry Town
HATHAT
Played111324121224
Wins36%38%38%33%25%29%
Draws27%46%38%42%33%38%
Loses36%15%25%25%42%33%

Form: Caernarfon Town: DWWWDWWLWLLLDWWDDLDLWDDD • Barry Town: WDLDDLWDWDLLDDWDWDWLLWLL

League goals

Metric Caernarfon Town Barry Town
HATHAT
GF total232245191433
GF avg2.11.71.91.61.21.4
GA total18153391827
GA avg1.61.21.40.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaernarfon TownBarry Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%63%63%
1.550%46%33%29%
2.521%8%21%17%
3.517%0%17%4%
4.513%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaernarfon TownBarry Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets134639
Failed to score134549

Penalties

MetricCaernarfon TownBarry Town
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricCaernarfon TownBarry Town
Wins31
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-12-55-11-4
Biggest losses0-32-02-34-0
Goals For6554
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricCaernarfon TownBarry Town
Form67%33%
Att42%58%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h85%15%
Goals64%36%
Total63.3%36.7%

Advice: Double chance : Caernarfon Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ 188Bet
Draw4.09 @ Pinnacle
Away4.47 @ SBO

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.27 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caernarfon Town = 1.99 (league 1.58), Barry Town = 1.41 (league 1.36)

Barry Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caernarfon Town 0 3.3% 4.7% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.6% 9.4% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.3% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.4% 6.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.2% 3.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 26.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1