Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:45 • Jenner Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.20 (league 1.57) 0.88 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.0% 18.8% 13.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.2%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Penybont
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barry Town 0 4.6% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.2% 8.9% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.8% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.2% 7.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarry TownPenybont
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack62%15%
Defense77%23%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barry Town Penybont
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins38%31%35%38%46%42%
Draws38%31%35%38%15%27%
Loses23%38%31%23%38%31%

Form: Barry Town: WDLDDLWDWDLLDDWDWDWLLWLLWW • Penybont: WLWWLDWWWWDWLLWLWLDDWDDLDL

League goals

Metric Barry Town Penybont
HATHAT
GF total201636152237
GF avg1.51.21.41.21.71.4
GA total91827103040
GA avg0.71.41.00.82.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarry TownPenybont
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%58%65%62%
1.535%27%38%35%
2.519%15%19%23%
3.515%4%15%15%
4.54%0%4%12%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarry TownPenybont
HATHAT
Clean sheets74115510
Failed to score549549

Penalties

MetricBarry TownPenybont
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBarry TownPenybont
Wins14
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-45-00-4
Biggest losses2-34-00-26-0
Goals For5454
Goals Against3426

Model comparison

MetricBarry TownPenybont
Form75%25%
Att80%20%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total62.3%37.7%

Advice: Double chance : Barry Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away4.10 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ SBO
Under 2.51.89 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barry Town = 2.20 (league 1.57), Penybont = 0.88 (league 1.36)

Penybont
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barry Town 0 4.6% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.2% 8.9% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.8% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.2% 7.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.0% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 13.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1