Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:45 • Essity Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.57) 2.27 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.6% 19.0% 61.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 2
9.1%
1 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
The New Saints
0 1 2 3 4 5
GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 3.5% 8.0% 9.1% 6.9% 3.9% 1.8%
1 3.8% 8.6% 9.8% 7.4% 4.2% 1.9%
2 2.0% 4.6% 5.2% 4.0% 2.2% 1.0%
3 0.7% 1.6% 1.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCThe New Saints
Played55
Form27%100%
Attack38%92%
Defense54%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric GAP Connah S Quay FC The New Saints
HATHAT
Played121426141226
Wins58%50%54%86%75%81%
Draws25%36%31%0%17%8%
Loses17%14%15%14%8%12%

Form: GAP Connah S Quay FC: DLWWLDWLDWWWDWWWWWWWWDDDDL • The New Saints: LWWDDWWWWWWWWWWLWWWLWWWWWW

League goals

Metric GAP Connah S Quay FC The New Saints
HATHAT
GF total292251442670
GF avg2.41.62.03.12.22.7
GA total17122912820
GA avg1.40.91.10.90.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGAP Connah S Quay FCThe New Saints
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%69%92%42%
1.562%31%77%23%
2.542%12%46%12%
3.58%0%27%0%
4.50%0%15%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCThe New Saints
HATHAT
Clean sheets2688715
Failed to score044112

Penalties

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCThe New Saints
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCThe New Saints
Wins810
Draws42
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-36-00-4
Biggest losses1-33-00-33-1
Goals For4364
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCThe New Saints
Form21%79%
Att29%71%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h20%80%
Goals35%65%
Total25.2%74.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or The New Saints

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.15 @ 188Bet
Draw3.80 @ 188Bet
Away1.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): GAP Connah S Quay FC = 1.07 (league 1.57), The New Saints = 2.27 (league 1.36)

The New Saints
0 1 2 3 4 5
GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 3.5% 8.0% 9.1% 6.9% 3.9% 1.8%
1 3.8% 8.6% 9.8% 7.4% 4.2% 1.9%
2 2.0% 4.6% 5.2% 4.0% 2.2% 1.0%
3 0.7% 1.6% 1.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.6% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 61.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1