Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:45 • The Oval
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.58) 1.75 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.8% 23.6% 50.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
0 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caernarfon Town 0 5.6% 9.7% 8.5% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
1 6.4% 11.1% 9.7% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.6% 6.3% 5.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.4% 2.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaernarfon TownGAP Connah S Quay FC
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack45%36%
Defense55%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caernarfon Town GAP Connah S Quay FC
HATHAT
Played131427131427
Wins38%36%37%54%50%52%
Draws23%43%33%23%36%30%
Loses38%21%30%23%14%19%

Form: Caernarfon Town: DWWWDWWLWLLLDWWDDLDLWDDDLLW • GAP Connah S Quay FC: DLWWLDWLDWWWDWWWWWWWWDDDDLL

League goals

Metric Caernarfon Town GAP Connah S Quay FC
HATHAT
GF total262349302252
GF avg2.01.61.82.31.61.9
GA total201737191231
GA avg1.51.21.41.50.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaernarfon TownGAP Connah S Quay FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%81%85%70%
1.548%48%59%33%
2.522%7%41%11%
3.515%0%7%0%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaernarfon TownGAP Connah S Quay FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets235268
Failed to score235044

Penalties

MetricCaernarfon TownGAP Connah S Quay FC
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total56

Streaks

MetricCaernarfon TownGAP Connah S Quay FC
Wins38
Draws34
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-12-54-00-3
Biggest losses0-32-01-33-0
Goals For6543
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricCaernarfon TownGAP Connah S Quay FC
Form63%38%
Att56%44%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h75%25%
Goals60%40%
Total58.0%42.2%

Advice: Double chance : Caernarfon Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.72 @ Pinnacle
Away2.64 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Pinnacle
No2.34 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caernarfon Town = 1.14 (league 1.58), GAP Connah S Quay FC = 1.75 (league 1.38)

GAP Connah S Quay FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caernarfon Town 0 5.6% 9.7% 8.5% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
1 6.4% 11.1% 9.7% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.6% 6.3% 5.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.4% 2.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.8% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 50.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1