Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 14:30 • Jenner Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.59) 0.70 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.8% 31.4% 22.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.1%
0 - 0
15.9%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Caernarfon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barry Town 0 15.9% 11.2% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.1% 12.7% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarry TownCaernarfon Town
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack38%54%
Defense69%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barry Town Caernarfon Town
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins43%29%36%36%36%36%
Draws36%29%32%21%43%32%
Loses21%43%32%43%21%32%

Form: Barry Town: WDLDDLWDWDLLDDWDWDWLLWLLWWWL • Caernarfon Town: DWWWDWWLWLLLDWWDDLDLWDDDLLWL

League goals

Metric Barry Town Caernarfon Town
HATHAT
GF total211738282351
GF avg1.51.21.42.01.61.8
GA total92130241741
GA avg0.61.51.11.71.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarry TownCaernarfon Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%57%82%82%
1.532%29%50%50%
2.518%18%21%11%
3.514%4%14%4%
4.54%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarry TownCaernarfon Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets8412235
Failed to score549235

Penalties

MetricBarry TownCaernarfon Town
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricBarry TownCaernarfon Town
Wins33
Draws23
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-46-12-5
Biggest losses2-34-00-32-0
Goals For5465
Goals Against3442

Model comparison

MetricBarry TownCaernarfon Town
Form69%31%
Att42%58%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h29%71%
Goals41%59%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Barry Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.43 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.70 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barry Town = 1.14 (league 1.59), Caernarfon Town = 0.70 (league 1.37)

Caernarfon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barry Town 0 15.9% 11.2% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.1% 12.7% 4.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.8% · Draw 31.4% · Away win 22.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1