GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Penybont

Premier League — Wales

Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 14:30 • Essity Stadium

Not Started

GAP Connah S Quay FC

—

Penybont

Expected Goals

3.19 (league 1.59) 1.75 (league 1.37)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
55.7%	15.2%	17.8%

best score tips

3 - 1

6.8%

2 - 1

6.4%

3 - 2

5.9%

Score & goals probability table

		Penybont
		0	1	2	3	4	5
GAP Connah S Quay FC	0	0.7%	1.2%	1.1%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%
	1	2.3%	4.0%	3.5%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%
	2	3.6%	6.4%	5.6%	3.3%	1.4%	0.5%
	3	3.9%	6.8%	5.9%	3.5%	1.5%	0.5%
	4	3.1%	5.4%	4.7%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%
	5	2.0%	3.4%	3.0%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	GAP Connah S Quay FC	Penybont
Played	5	5
Form	33%	7%
Attack	50%	17%
Defense	50%	0%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	2 \| 0.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	12 \| 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

69%

FT probability

3.5+

49%

FT probability

BTTS

74%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	GAP Connah S Quay FC			Penybont
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	13	15	28	14	14	28
Wins	54%	53%	54%	36%	43%	39%
Draws	23%	33%	29%	36%	14%	25%
Loses	23%	13%	18%	29%	43%	36%

Form: GAP Connah S Quay FC: DLWWLDWLDWWWDWWWWWWWWDDDDLLW • Penybont: WLWWLDWWWWDWLLWLWLDDWDDLDLLL

League goals

Metric	GAP Connah S Quay FC			Penybont
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	30	26	56	16	22	38
GF avg	2.3	1.7	2.0	1.1	1.6	1.4
GA total	19	14	33	12	31	43
GA avg	1.5	0.9	1.2	0.9	2.2	1.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	GAP Connah S Quay FC		Penybont
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	86%	71%	64%	64%
1.5	61%	36%	36%	36%
2.5	43%	11%	18%	21%
3.5	11%	0%	14%	14%
4.5	0%	0%	4%	11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	GAP Connah S Quay FC			Penybont
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	6	8	5	5	10
Failed to score	0	4	4	5	5	10

Penalties

Metric	GAP Connah S Quay FC	Penybont
Scored (total \| %)	7 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	7	0

Streaks

Metric	GAP Connah S Quay FC	Penybont
Wins	8	4
Draws	4	2
Losses	2	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	0-3	5-0	0-4
Biggest losses	1-3	3-0	0-2	6-0
Goals For	4	4	5	4
Goals Against	3	3	2	6

Model comparison

Metric	GAP Connah S Quay FC	Penybont
Form	83%	17%
Att	75%	25%
Def	67%	33%
Poisson Distribution	67%	33%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	71%	29%
Total	68.8%	31.2%

Advice: Double chance : GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Penybont

Expected goals (λ): GAP Connah S Quay FC = 3.19 (league 1.59), Penybont = 1.75 (league 1.37)

		Penybont
		0	1	2	3	4	5
GAP Connah S Quay FC	0	0.7%	1.2%	1.1%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%
	1	2.3%	4.0%	3.5%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%
	2	3.6%	6.4%	5.6%	3.3%	1.4%	0.5%
	3	3.9%	6.8%	5.9%	3.5%	1.5%	0.5%
	4	3.1%	5.4%	4.7%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%
	5	2.0%	3.4%	3.0%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.7% · Draw 15.2% · Away win 17.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	GAP Connah S Quay FC	Penybont
Scored (total \| %)	7 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	7	0