Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 13:30 • Llanelian Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.53) 1.75 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.7% 23.2% 43.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
9.1%
2 - 1
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Caernarfon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colwyn Bay 0 4.1% 7.2% 6.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
1 5.9% 10.4% 9.1% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.5% 6.5% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.1% 3.6% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricColwyn BayCaernarfon Town
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack89%78%
Defense44%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Colwyn Bay Caernarfon Town
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins40%40%40%33%33%33%
Draws33%20%27%20%40%30%
Loses27%40%33%47%27%37%

Form: Colwyn Bay: DDLDDWWDLLWWDWLWLWLWLLDWLWLWWD • Caernarfon Town: DWWWDWWLWLLLDWWDDLDLWDDDLLWLLL

League goals

Metric Colwyn Bay Caernarfon Town
HATHAT
GF total261440282452
GF avg1.70.91.31.91.61.7
GA total221234281947
GA avg1.50.81.11.91.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineColwyn BayCaernarfon Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%70%80%83%
1.537%27%47%53%
2.520%10%20%13%
3.57%7%13%7%
4.53%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricColwyn BayCaernarfon Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets369235
Failed to score3710336

Penalties

MetricColwyn BayCaernarfon Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricColwyn BayCaernarfon Town
Wins23
Draws23
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-46-12-5
Biggest losses1-43-00-42-0
Goals For5465
Goals Against4342

Model comparison

MetricColwyn BayCaernarfon Town
Form77%23%
Att53%47%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h40%60%
Goals27%73%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Colwyn Bay or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Pinnacle
Away3.12 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ 188Bet
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Colwyn Bay = 1.45 (league 1.53), Caernarfon Town = 1.75 (league 1.38)

Caernarfon Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Colwyn Bay 0 4.1% 7.2% 6.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
1 5.9% 10.4% 9.1% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.5% 6.5% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.1% 3.6% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.7% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 43.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1