Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 14:30 • Maes Tegid
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.58) 1.63 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.3% 24.6% 56.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.4%
0 - 2
11.7%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Cardiff MET
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bala Town 0 8.8% 14.4% 11.7% 6.3% 2.6% 0.8%
1 7.0% 11.5% 9.4% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 2.8% 4.6% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBala TownCardiff MET
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack89%33%
Defense0%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bala Town Cardiff MET
HATHAT
Played121123121123
Wins17%36%26%25%27%26%
Draws42%0%22%33%55%43%
Loses42%64%52%42%18%30%

Form: Bala Town: DWLWWDLDWLLLLDWLLDLLLWL • Cardiff MET: DDDDLLDLLWWWDWLWDWDLDDL

League goals

Metric Bala Town Cardiff MET
HATHAT
GF total111122151833
GF avg0.91.01.01.31.61.4
GA total171734231538
GA avg1.41.51.51.91.41.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBala TownCardiff MET
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%70%74%83%
1.522%57%48%48%
2.513%13%17%22%
3.54%9%4%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBala TownCardiff MET
HATHAT
Clean sheets437224
Failed to score5510426

Penalties

MetricBala TownCardiff MET
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBala TownCardiff MET
Wins23
Draws14
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-44-10-3
Biggest losses1-34-00-44-2
Goals For3443
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricBala TownCardiff MET
Form50%50%
Att73%27%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h15%85%
Goals30%70%
Total40.2%59.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cardiff MET

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.80 @ Bet365
Draw3.31 @ Pinnacle
Away2.05 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bala Town = 0.80 (league 1.58), Cardiff MET = 1.63 (league 1.38)

Cardiff MET
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bala Town 0 8.8% 14.4% 11.7% 6.3% 2.6% 0.8%
1 7.0% 11.5% 9.4% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 2.8% 4.6% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.3% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 56.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1