Mon, Mar 16 2026 • 19:45 • Cyncoed Campus
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.55) 2.38 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.4% 18.7% 59.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.4%
1 - 1
7.9%
0 - 2
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Briton Ferry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff MET 0 2.7% 6.4% 7.6% 6.0% 3.6% 1.7%
1 3.3% 7.9% 9.4% 7.5% 4.5% 2.1%
2 2.0% 4.9% 5.8% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3%
3 0.8% 2.0% 2.4% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCardiff METBriton Ferry
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack25%58%
Defense50%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cardiff MET Briton Ferry
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins23%21%22%29%38%33%
Draws38%57%48%21%38%30%
Loses38%21%30%50%23%37%

Form: Cardiff MET: DDDDLLDLLWWWDWLWDWDLDDLDDDL • Briton Ferry: WDWLDLDLLDWLLLWDLDLDWWWLDWW

League goals

Metric Cardiff MET Briton Ferry
HATHAT
GF total162036152439
GF avg1.21.41.31.11.81.4
GA total241842232144
GA avg1.81.31.61.61.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCardiff METBriton Ferry
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%85%74%78%
1.541%41%52%56%
2.515%19%15%15%
3.54%11%4%11%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCardiff METBriton Ferry
HATHAT
Clean sheets224246
Failed to score437617

Penalties

MetricCardiff METBriton Ferry
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricCardiff METBriton Ferry
Wins33
Draws41
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-33-10-3
Biggest losses0-44-22-54-1
Goals For4334
Goals Against4454

Model comparison

MetricCardiff METBriton Ferry
Form23%77%
Att30%70%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Briton Ferry

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ 188Bet
Draw3.50 @ 10Bet
Away3.48 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.08 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.30 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Cardiff MET = 1.24 (league 1.55), Briton Ferry = 2.38 (league 1.36)

Briton Ferry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff MET 0 2.7% 6.4% 7.6% 6.0% 3.6% 1.7%
1 3.3% 7.9% 9.4% 7.5% 4.5% 2.1%
2 2.0% 4.9% 5.8% 4.6% 2.8% 1.3%
3 0.8% 2.0% 2.4% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.4% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 59.3%

vtt 4 , vtd1