Wed, Feb 4 2026 • 20:00 •
Philips Stadion
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.96)
0.77 (league 1.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.7% | 25.8% | 18.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
11.8%
2 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Heerenveen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | 0 | 10.0% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.3% | 11.8% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | PSV Eindhoven | Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 3 |
| Form | 100% | 100% |
| Attack | 37% | 47% |
| Defense | 95% | 84% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 3.5 | 9 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
75%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | PSV Eindhoven | Heerenveen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
PSV EindhovenWW
HeerenveenWWW
League goals
| Metric | PSV Eindhoven | Heerenveen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | PSV Eindhoven | Heerenveen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | PSV Eindhoven | Heerenveen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | PSV Eindhoven | Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | PSV Eindhoven | Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | PSV Eindhoven | Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 88% | 13% |
| Total | 65.4% | 34.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.42 @ Bet365
Draw5.60 @ Unibet
Away7.20 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.34 @ Betano
Under 2.53.50 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.53 @ Pinnacle
No2.73 @ 188Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…