Wed, Feb 4 2026 • 20:00 • Philips Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.85) 0.73 (league 2.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.2% 24.6% 16.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Heerenveen
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSV Eindhoven 0 9.6% 7.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.5% 11.3% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.1% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.8% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPSV EindhovenHeerenveen
Played23
Form100%100%
Attack37%47%
Defense95%84%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 3.59 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.53 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric PSV Eindhoven Heerenveen
HATHAT
Played112123
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: PSV Eindhoven: WW • Heerenveen: WWW

League goals

Metric PSV Eindhoven Heerenveen
HATHAT
GF total347369
GF avg3.04.03.53.03.03.0
GA total011123
GA avg0.01.00.51.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePSV EindhovenHeerenveen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%67%
1.5100%0%100%33%
2.5100%0%100%0%
3.550%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPSV EindhovenHeerenveen
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPSV EindhovenHeerenveen
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPSV EindhovenHeerenveen
Wins23
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-43-10-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For3433
Goals Against0112

Model comparison

MetricPSV EindhovenHeerenveen
Form40%60%
Att44%56%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals88%13%
Total65.4%34.8%

Advice: Double chance : PSV Eindhoven or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Bet365
Draw5.60 @ Unibet
Away7.20 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.34 @ Betano
Under 2.53.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Pinnacle
No2.73 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): PSV Eindhoven = 1.62 (league 1.85), Heerenveen = 0.73 (league 2.07)

Heerenveen
0 1 2 3 4 5
PSV Eindhoven 0 9.6% 7.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.5% 11.3% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.1% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.8% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.2% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 16.6%

vtt 4 , vtd1