FA Cup — Scotland
Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 19:45 • Albert Bartlett Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.23 (league 1.79) 2.20 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.2% 19.5% 37.2%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.2%
2 - 1
6.5%
1 - 2
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Airdrie United 0 1.2% 2.6% 2.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5%
1 2.6% 5.8% 6.4% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1%
2 3.0% 6.5% 7.2% 5.3% 2.9% 1.3%
3 2.2% 4.8% 5.3% 3.9% 2.2% 0.9%
4 1.2% 2.7% 3.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%
5 0.5% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAirdrie UnitedST Mirren
Played21
Form100%100%
Attack80%20%
Defense70%90%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 42 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 1.51 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Airdrie United ST Mirren
HATHAT
Played202011
Wins100%—100%—100%100%
Draws0%—0%—0%0%
Loses0%—0%—0%0%

Form: Airdrie United: WW • ST Mirren: W

League goals

Metric Airdrie United ST Mirren
HATHAT
GF total808022
GF avg4.00.04.00.02.02.0
GA total303011
GA avg1.50.01.50.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAirdrie UnitedST Mirren
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%100%
1.5100%50%100%0%
2.5100%50%0%0%
3.5100%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAirdrie UnitedST Mirren
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAirdrie UnitedST Mirren
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAirdrie UnitedST Mirren
Wins21
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0——1-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For4002
Goals Against3001

Model comparison

MetricAirdrie UnitedST Mirren
Form67%33%
Att80%20%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h33%67%
Goals22%78%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or ST Mirren and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.80 @ Marathonbet
Draw4.20 @ 188Bet
Away1.58 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Airdrie United = 2.23 (league 1.79), ST Mirren = 2.20 (league 1.36)

ST Mirren
0 1 2 3 4 5
Airdrie United 0 1.2% 2.6% 2.9% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5%
1 2.6% 5.8% 6.4% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1%
2 3.0% 6.5% 7.2% 5.3% 2.9% 1.3%
3 2.2% 4.8% 5.3% 3.9% 2.2% 0.9%
4 1.2% 2.7% 3.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%
5 0.5% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.2% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 37.2%

vtt 2 , vtd1