Mon, Feb 23 2026 • 00:00 • Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 1.19) 1.83 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.2% 21.7% 37.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.5%
2 - 1
7.9%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
CD Motagua
0 1 2 3 4 5
CD Olimpia 0 2.5% 4.6% 4.2% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
1 4.7% 8.5% 7.8% 4.8% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.9% 7.2% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.6% 4.8% 4.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.5%
4 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCD OlimpiaCD Motagua
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack32%58%
Defense74%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CD Olimpia CD Motagua
HATHAT
Played141630151429
Wins71%50%60%40%43%41%
Draws29%31%30%40%29%34%
Loses0%19%10%20%29%24%

Form: CD Olimpia: WWWDDWLWDWWWDWWWLWDWWDWDWWDDWL • CD Motagua: LLLDWWWDWDWDLWWWWDLWLLDDWDDWD

League goals

Metric CD Olimpia CD Motagua
HATHAT
GF total282856252752
GF avg2.01.81.91.71.91.8
GA total142135271643
GA avg1.01.31.21.81.11.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCD OlimpiaCD Motagua
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%60%76%79%
1.563%43%52%45%
2.517%3%28%21%
3.53%3%10%3%
4.53%3%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCD OlimpiaCD Motagua
HATHAT
Clean sheets6612246
Failed to score022437

Penalties

MetricCD OlimpiaCD Motagua
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricCD OlimpiaCD Motagua
Wins34
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-72-01-7
Biggest losses—6-20-43-1
Goals For3747
Goals Against2643

Model comparison

MetricCD OlimpiaCD Motagua
Form47%53%
Att35%65%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h62%38%
Goals62%38%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : CD Olimpia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Bet365
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No1.95 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CD Olimpia = 1.85 (league 1.19), CD Motagua = 1.83 (league 1.04)

CD Motagua
0 1 2 3 4 5
CD Olimpia 0 2.5% 4.6% 4.2% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
1 4.7% 8.5% 7.8% 4.8% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.9% 7.2% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.6% 4.8% 4.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.5%
4 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.2% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 37.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1