Mon, Mar 2 2026 • 21:30 • Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.45 (league 1.20) 2.24 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.4% 18.9% 34.3%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.9%
2 - 1
6.2%
1 - 2
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Lobos Upnfm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Génesis 0 0.9% 2.1% 2.3% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4%
1 2.3% 5.1% 5.7% 4.2% 2.4% 1.1%
2 2.8% 6.2% 6.9% 5.2% 2.9% 1.3%
3 2.2% 5.0% 5.6% 4.2% 2.4% 1.1%
4 1.4% 3.1% 3.4% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6%
5 0.7% 1.5% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGénesisLobos Upnfm
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack38%54%
Defense31%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Génesis Lobos Upnfm
HATHAT
Played141327141327
Wins29%8%19%29%23%26%
Draws36%31%33%57%31%44%
Loses36%62%48%14%46%30%

Form: Génesis: LWLLLWLDDDLLLDWWLLDDLLDDLDW • Lobos Upnfm: WLDLWWDDDLWLLDWDWDLDDDDLDLW

League goals

Metric Génesis Lobos Upnfm
HATHAT
GF total201535161733
GF avg1.41.21.31.11.31.2
GA total252247132740
GA avg1.81.71.70.92.11.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGénesisLobos Upnfm
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%89%78%74%
1.533%52%33%44%
2.57%22%11%15%
3.54%7%0%11%
4.54%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGénesisLobos Upnfm
HATHAT
Clean sheets303527
Failed to score336336

Penalties

MetricGénesisLobos Upnfm
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricGénesisLobos Upnfm
Wins22
Draws34
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-21-22-00-2
Biggest losses0-54-31-25-1
Goals For6323
Goals Against5425

Model comparison

MetricGénesisLobos Upnfm
Form55%45%
Att42%58%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals63%37%
Total51.5%48.5%

Advice: Double chance : Génesis or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ 10Bet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.31 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.15 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Génesis = 2.45 (league 1.20), Lobos Upnfm = 2.24 (league 1.04)

Lobos Upnfm
0 1 2 3 4 5
Génesis 0 0.9% 2.1% 2.3% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4%
1 2.3% 5.1% 5.7% 4.2% 2.4% 1.1%
2 2.8% 6.2% 6.9% 5.2% 2.9% 1.3%
3 2.2% 5.0% 5.6% 4.2% 2.4% 1.1%
4 1.4% 3.1% 3.4% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6%
5 0.7% 1.5% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.4% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 34.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1