Copa del Rey — Spain
Wed, Feb 4 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio de Mendizorroza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.25) 0.05 (league 2.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.0% 67.5% 3.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
66.3%
1 - 0
23.9%
2 - 0
4.3%
Score & goals probability table
Real Sociedad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alaves 0 66.3% 3.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.9% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlavesReal Sociedad
Played44
Form100%100%
Attack87%67%
Defense100%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 3.310 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 03 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alaves Real Sociedad
HATHAT
Played224134
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Alaves: WWWW • Real Sociedad: WWWW

League goals

Metric Alaves Real Sociedad
HATHAT
GF total310133710
GF avg1.55.03.33.02.32.5
GA total000213
GA avg0.00.00.02.00.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlavesReal Sociedad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%50%
1.575%0%100%25%
2.550%0%50%0%
3.525%0%0%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlavesReal Sociedad
HATHAT
Clean sheets224022
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAlavesReal Sociedad
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAlavesReal Sociedad
Wins44
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-73-20-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For2733
Goals Against0021

Model comparison

MetricAlavesReal Sociedad
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total60.3%40.0%

Advice: Double chance : Alaves or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.07 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ 1xBet
Away2.56 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ SBO
Under 2.51.70 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alaves = 0.36 (league 1.25), Real Sociedad = 0.05 (league 2.07)

Real Sociedad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alaves 0 66.3% 3.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.9% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.0% · Draw 67.5% · Away win 3.4%

vtt 12 , vtd1