Copa del Rey — Spain
Wed, Feb 4 2026 • 20:00 • Estadio de Mestalla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.36 (league 1.25) 0.36 (league 2.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.4% 6.4% 1.8%
best score tips
3 - 0
15.3%
2 - 0
13.6%
4 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Athletic Club
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valencia 0 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.1% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.6% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.3% 5.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.9% 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.7% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricValenciaAthletic Club
Played42
Form100%100%
Attack73%33%
Defense93%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.85 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.33 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Valencia Athletic Club
HATHAT
Played044022
Wins—100%100%—100%100%
Draws—0%0%—0%0%
Loses—0%0%—0%0%

Form: Valencia: WWWW • Athletic Club: WW

League goals

Metric Valencia Athletic Club
HATHAT
GF total01111055
GF avg0.02.82.80.02.52.5
GA total011033
GA avg0.00.30.30.01.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineValenciaAthletic Club
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%25%100%50%
1.5100%0%50%50%
2.525%0%50%50%
3.525%0%50%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricValenciaAthletic Club
HATHAT
Clean sheets033011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricValenciaAthletic Club
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricValenciaAthletic Club
Wins42
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-5—3-4
Biggest losses————
Goals For0504
Goals Against0103

Model comparison

MetricValenciaAthletic Club
Form67%33%
Att69%31%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total63.4%36.6%

Advice: Double chance : Valencia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ 188Bet
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away2.70 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Betano
Under 2.51.76 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ William Hill
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Valencia = 3.36 (league 1.25), Athletic Club = 0.36 (league 2.07)

Athletic Club
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valencia 0 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.1% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.6% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.3% 5.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.9% 4.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.7% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.4% · Draw 6.4% · Away win 1.8%

vtt 8 , vtd1