Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 21:00 •
Estadio Los Milagros
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.16)
2.84 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.7% | 11.1% | 77.3% |
best score tips
0 - 2
13.6%
0 - 3
12.9%
0 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Sporting San Miguelito | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Herrera | 0 | 3.4% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 5.2% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Herrera | Sporting San Miguelito |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 24% | 41% |
| Defense | 18% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-7
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Herrera | Sporting San Miguelito | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 13% | 33% | 40% | 38% |
| Draws | 25% | 50% | 38% | 33% | 60% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 13% |
HerreraLDDLLLWD
Sporting San MiguelitoWDLDWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Herrera | Sporting San Miguelito | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 7 | 14 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Herrera | Sporting San Miguelito | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 88% | 75% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 50% | 38% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 38% | 13% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 38% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Herrera | Sporting San Miguelito | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Herrera | Sporting San Miguelito |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Herrera | Sporting San Miguelito |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 1-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 7-2 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Herrera | Sporting San Miguelito |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 26% | 74% |
| Poisson Distribution | 16% | 84% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 18% | 82% |
| Total | 22.3% | 77.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home5.10 @ 10Bet
Draw3.65 @ Superbet
Away1.67 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.84 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.97 @ Superbet
No1.85 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…
