Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 12:30 • Azadi Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.06) 0.74 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.0% 20.4% 13.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.1%
2 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Esteghlal Khuzestan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Esteghlal FC 0 6.6% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.1% 9.6% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.9% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.5% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEsteghlal FCEsteghlal Khuzestan
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Esteghlal FC Esteghlal Khuzestan
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins38%33%35%33%13%24%
Draws50%56%53%33%38%35%
Loses13%11%12%33%50%41%

Form: Esteghlal FC: WDLDDDWWWWDDDLWDD • Esteghlal Khuzestan: DDWLWWLLDLLDLLWDD

League goals

Metric Esteghlal FC Esteghlal Khuzestan
HATHAT
GF total119207512
GF avg1.41.01.20.80.60.7
GA total851361218
GA avg1.00.60.80.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEsteghlal FCEsteghlal Khuzestan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%59%53%65%
1.529%12%18%29%
2.518%6%0%12%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEsteghlal FCEsteghlal Khuzestan
HATHAT
Clean sheets347426
Failed to score235448

Penalties

MetricEsteghlal FCEsteghlal Khuzestan
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricEsteghlal FCEsteghlal Khuzestan
Wins42
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-01-2
Biggest losses0-11-00-23-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against3123

Model comparison

MetricEsteghlal FCEsteghlal Khuzestan
Form55%45%
Att50%50%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h60%40%
Goals67%33%
Total60.7%39.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Esteghlal FC or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ 10Bet
Draw3.80 @ Dafabet
Away10.80 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.45 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.14 @ Marathonbet
No1.44 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Esteghlal FC = 1.98 (league 1.06), Esteghlal Khuzestan = 0.74 (league 0.81)

Esteghlal Khuzestan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Esteghlal FC 0 6.6% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.1% 9.6% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.9% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.5% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.0% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 13.0%

vtt 7 , vtd1