Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 11:30 • Ghadir Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.06) 0.60 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.4% 34.6% 21.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.5%
1 - 0
20.1%
0 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Aluminium Arak
0 1 2 3 4 5
Esteghlal Khuzestan 0 20.5% 12.4% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.1% 12.1% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.9% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEsteghlal KhuzestanAluminium Arak
Played55
Form33%7%
Attack27%27%
Defense64%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Esteghlal Khuzestan Aluminium Arak
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins33%11%22%22%22%22%
Draws33%33%33%22%22%22%
Loses33%56%44%56%56%56%

Form: Esteghlal Khuzestan: DDWLWWLLDLLDLLWDDL • Aluminium Arak: LLLWWWWDLLDDLLLLDL

League goals

Metric Esteghlal Khuzestan Aluminium Arak
HATHAT
GF total75125611
GF avg0.80.60.70.60.70.6
GA total6131971219
GA avg0.71.41.10.81.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEsteghlal KhuzestanAluminium Arak
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%67%50%67%
1.517%28%11%22%
2.50%11%0%11%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEsteghlal KhuzestanAluminium Arak
HATHAT
Clean sheets426336
Failed to score459549

Penalties

MetricEsteghlal KhuzestanAluminium Arak
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricEsteghlal KhuzestanAluminium Arak
Wins24
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-00-1
Biggest losses0-23-01-24-1
Goals For2222
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricEsteghlal KhuzestanAluminium Arak
Form83%17%
Att50%50%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Esteghlal Khuzestan or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Superbet
Draw2.81 @ 188Bet
Away2.90 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.36 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Marathonbet
No1.57 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Esteghlal Khuzestan = 0.98 (league 1.06), Aluminium Arak = 0.60 (league 0.81)

Aluminium Arak
0 1 2 3 4 5
Esteghlal Khuzestan 0 20.5% 12.4% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.1% 12.1% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.9% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.4% · Draw 34.6% · Away win 21.9%

vtt 2 , vtd1