Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 11:30 •
Sardar Azadegan Stadium
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.06)
0.88 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.9% | 24.9% | 20.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Mes Rafsanjan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shams Azar Qazvin | 0 | 8.2% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.3% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Shams Azar Qazvin | Mes Rafsanjan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 9% | 27% |
| Defense | 100% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Shams Azar Qazvin | Mes Rafsanjan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 0% | 22% | 11% | 22% | 0% | 11% |
| Draws | 67% | 67% | 67% | 44% | 22% | 33% |
| Loses | 33% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 78% | 56% |
Form: Shams Azar Qazvin: DDDDDLLWLDLDDDDDDW • Mes Rafsanjan: LDLDLWLDLDLLDLLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Shams Azar Qazvin | Mes Rafsanjan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 11 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Shams Azar Qazvin | Mes Rafsanjan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 50% | 39% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 6% | 11% | 22% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 6% | 0% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 6% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Shams Azar Qazvin | Mes Rafsanjan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Shams Azar Qazvin | Mes Rafsanjan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Shams Azar Qazvin | Mes Rafsanjan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 6 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Shams Azar Qazvin | Mes Rafsanjan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 88% | 13% |
| Total | 66.0% | 34.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Shams Azar Qazvin or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Shams Azar Qazvin = 1.61 (league 1.06), Mes Rafsanjan = 0.88 (league 0.81)
| Mes Rafsanjan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Shams Azar Qazvin | 0 | 8.2% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.3% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.9% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 20.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1