Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:00 • Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.13) 0.68 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.3% 24.6% 15.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.4%
2 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
AS Marsa
0 1 2 3 4 5
US Monastirienne 0 10.2% 6.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.4% 11.1% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 8.9% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.1% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUS MonastirienneAS Marsa
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack100%75%
Defense25%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric US Monastirienne AS Marsa
HATHAT
Played8101810717
Wins63%20%39%50%14%35%
Draws38%60%50%10%0%6%
Loses0%20%11%40%86%59%

Form: US Monastirienne: DDWDDWWDWLDDDWWDWL • AS Marsa: LWLDLWLLWLLWLWLLW

League goals

Metric US Monastirienne AS Marsa
HATHAT
GF total118197815
GF avg1.40.81.10.71.10.9
GA total48128917
GA avg0.50.80.70.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUS MonastirienneAS Marsa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%56%47%65%
1.533%11%18%29%
2.50%0%6%6%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUS MonastirienneAS Marsa
HATHAT
Clean sheets448516
Failed to score145549

Penalties

MetricUS MonastirienneAS Marsa
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricUS MonastirienneAS Marsa
Wins21
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-00-6
Biggest losses—2-10-32-0
Goals For2226
Goals Against1232

Model comparison

MetricUS MonastirienneAS Marsa
Form63%38%
Att67%33%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h88%13%
Goals86%14%
Total72.3%28.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : US Monastirienne or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Bet365
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away8.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.56 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.78 @ 188Bet
No1.48 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): US Monastirienne = 1.61 (league 1.13), AS Marsa = 0.68 (league 0.81)

AS Marsa
0 1 2 3 4 5
US Monastirienne 0 10.2% 6.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.4% 11.1% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.2% 8.9% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.1% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.3% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 15.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1