Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 07:30 •
Ansan WA Stadium
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.31)
2.30 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.9% | 19.1% | 59.9% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
1 - 1
8.4%
0 - 2
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Jeonnam Dragons | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ansan Greeners | 0 | 3.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Jeonnam Dragons carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 60 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Ansan Greeners +1.3, Jeonnam Dragons -30.4.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Ansan Greeners
vs
Jeonnam Dragons
Elo gapJeonnam Dragons +60
Home / draw / away31% / 23% / 46%
Expected home share41%
Combined Elo2867.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2867.6
Elo home share
41%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Ansan Greeners | Jeonnam Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1386.4 | 1481.2 |
| Form Elo | 1386.3 | 1458 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1407.9 | 1492.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1359.4 | 1560.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1411.8 | 1456.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +1.3 | -30.4 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Ansan Greeners last-5 Elo change: +1.3; Jeonnam Dragons last-5 Elo change: -30.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ansan Greeners | Jeonnam Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 13% |
| Attack | 29% | 29% |
| Defense | 50% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ansan Greeners | Jeonnam Dragons | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 67% | 25% | — | 13% | 13% |
| Draws | 20% | 33% | 25% | — | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 80% | 0% | 50% | — | 63% | 63% |
Ansan GreenersWLLDDLWL
Jeonnam DragonsWLLLLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Ansan Greeners | Jeonnam Dragons | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 11 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 15 |
| GA avg | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ansan Greeners | Jeonnam Dragons | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 88% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 50% | 50% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 25% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 13% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ansan Greeners | Jeonnam Dragons | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ansan Greeners | Jeonnam Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ansan Greeners | Jeonnam Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-4 | — | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | — | — | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ansan Greeners | Jeonnam Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 45.7% | 54.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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