Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.90)
2.45 (league 1.63)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4% | 9.2% | 86.4% |
best score tips
0 - 2
24.6%
0 - 3
20.1%
0 - 1
20.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Franke | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Helges | 0 | 8.2% | 20.1% | 24.6% | 20.1% | 12.3% | 6.0% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Franke carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 25 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Helges -29.3, Franke -0.8.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Helges
vs
Franke
Elo gapFranke +25
Home / draw / away34% / 27% / 39%
Expected home share46%
Combined Elo2973.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2973.2
Elo home share
46%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Helges | Franke |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1456.7 | 1516.5 |
| Form Elo | 1421.1 | 1516.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1478.5 | 1493.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1442.1 | 1604.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1441.8 | 1425.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -29.3 | -0.8 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Helges last-5 Elo change: -29.3; Franke last-5 Elo change: -0.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Helges | Franke |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 8% | 50% |
| Attack | 0% | 57% |
| Defense | 7% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 3.3 | 6 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Helges | Franke | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 50% | 75% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
HelgesLLLD
FrankeLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Helges | Franke | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| GA avg | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Helges | Franke | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 0% | 75% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 75% | 50% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 75% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Helges | Franke | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Helges | Franke |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Helges | Franke |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Helges | Franke |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 14% | 86% |
| Att | 0% | 100% |
| Def | 32% | 68% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 23.0% | 77.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…