Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.90)
0.25 (league 1.63)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.5% | 34.8% | 8.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
28.8%
0 - 0
27.3%
2 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Viggbyholms IK | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Falu BS | 0 | 27.3% | 6.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 28.8% | 7.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.1% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Falu BS carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 186 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Falu BS +8.8, Viggbyholms IK -37.8.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Falu BS
vs
Viggbyholms IK
Elo gapFalu BS +186
Home / draw / away61% / 18% / 21%
Expected home share74%
Combined Elo3082.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3082.9
Elo home share
74%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Falu BS | Viggbyholms IK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1617 | 1465.9 |
| Form Elo | 1629.3 | 1428.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1548.9 | 1505.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1582.5 | 1520.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1643.2 | 1370.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +8.8 | -37.8 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Falu BS last-5 Elo change: +8.8; Viggbyholms IK last-5 Elo change: -37.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Falu BS | Viggbyholms IK |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 67% | 8% |
| Attack | 29% | 21% |
| Defense | 86% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 10 | 2.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Falu BS | Viggbyholms IK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
Falu BSDWDW
Viggbyholms IKLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Falu BS | Viggbyholms IK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Falu BS | Viggbyholms IK | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 50% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 0% | 25% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Falu BS | Viggbyholms IK | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Falu BS | Viggbyholms IK |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Falu BS | Viggbyholms IK |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 2-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Falu BS | Viggbyholms IK |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 89% | 11% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 65.8% | 34.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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