Division 2 - Norra Svealand — Sweden
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Korsnäs

—

Enskede

Expected Goals
0.13 (league 1.90) 3.64 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.4% 3.5% 79.9%
best score tips
0 - 3
18.5%
0 - 4
16.8%
0 - 2
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Enskede
0 1 2 3 4 5
Korsnäs 0 2.3% 8.3% 15.2% 18.5% 16.8% 12.3%
1 0.3% 1.1% 2.0% 2.4% 2.2% 1.6%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away lean

Enskede carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 33 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Korsnäs -8.2, Enskede +42.8.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Korsnäs Elo 1467.6 · -8.2
vs
Enskede Elo 1535.8 · +42.8
Elo gapEnskede +33
Home / draw / away33% / 26% / 41%
Expected home share45%
Combined Elo3003.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3003.4
Elo home share 45%
Match tone Good Watch
Metric Korsnäs Enskede
Overall Elo1467.61535.8
Form Elo1461.21583.6
Home / Away Elo14851502.4
Attack Elo1475.61529.2
Defense Elo1368.11512.2
Last 5 Elo change-8.2+42.8

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Korsnäs last-5 Elo change: -8.2; Enskede last-5 Elo change: +42.8.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKorsnäsEnskede
Played44
Form17%100%
Attack18%41%
Defense53%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.87 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 21 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Korsnäs Enskede
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%0%0%100%100%100%
Draws0%100%50%0%0%0%
Loses100%0%50%0%0%0%
KorsnäsLDDL
EnskedeWWWW

League goals

Metric Korsnäs Enskede
HATHAT
GF total123347
GF avg0.51.00.81.52.01.8
GA total628011
GA avg3.01.02.00.00.50.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKorsnäsEnskede
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%100%25%
1.50%50%75%0%
2.50%50%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKorsnäsEnskede
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricKorsnäsEnskede
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricKorsnäsEnskede
Wins04
Draws20
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-00-2
Biggest losses0-3———
Goals For1122
Goals Against3101

Model comparison

MetricKorsnäsEnskede
Form14%86%
Att30%70%
Def11%89%
Poisson Distribution4%96%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total14.8%85.3%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.95 @ Dafabet
Draw3.80 @ Betfair
Away1.80 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.27 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Marathonbet
No2.32 @ 1xBet
📊

League standings

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