Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 11:00 •
Tibblevallen
Expected Goals
0.26 (league 1.90)
0.49 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.1% | 53.5% | 31.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
47.3%
0 - 1
23.0%
1 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Kungsängen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Täby | 0 | 47.3% | 23.0% | 5.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Täby carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 57 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Täby -19.6, Kungsängen -21.9.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Täby
vs
Kungsängen
Elo gapTäby +57
Home / draw / away44% / 24% / 32%
Expected home share58%
Combined Elo2949.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2949.6
Elo home share
58%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Täby | Kungsängen |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1485.8 | 1463.8 |
| Form Elo | 1463.8 | 1438.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1499.6 | 1479.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1583.3 | 1495 |
| Defense Elo | 1472 | 1505.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -19.6 | -21.9 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Täby last-5 Elo change: -19.6; Kungsängen last-5 Elo change: -21.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Täby | Kungsängen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 17% |
| Attack | 24% | 18% |
| Defense | 71% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 6 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
47%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Täby | Kungsängen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 67% | 0% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 50% |
TäbyDLLW
KungsängenDLLD
League goals
| Metric | Täby | Kungsängen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Täby | Kungsängen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 25% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Täby | Kungsängen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Täby | Kungsängen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Täby | Kungsängen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Täby | Kungsängen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 64.6% | 35.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.78 @ Betano
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away4.20 @ Marathonbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.55 @ 1xBet
No2.38 @ Bet365
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League standings
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