Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.92)
1.03 (league 1.66)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.5% | 34.3% | 47.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
21.8%
0 - 0
21.3%
1 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Korsnäs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kungsängen | 0 | 21.3% | 21.8% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Kungsängen -32.7, Korsnäs +3.2.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Kungsängen
vs
Korsnäs
Elo gapKungsängen +9
Home / draw / away36% / 29% / 35%
Expected home share51%
Combined Elo2932
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2932
Elo home share
51%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Kungsängen | Korsnäs |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1453 | 1479 |
| Form Elo | 1421.6 | 1487.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1494.4 | 1482.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1482.5 | 1488.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1492.6 | 1364.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -32.7 | +3.2 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Kungsängen last-5 Elo change: -32.7; Korsnäs last-5 Elo change: +3.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kungsängen | Korsnäs |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 33% |
| Attack | 12% | 24% |
| Defense | 64% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kungsängen | Korsnäs | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 67% | 0% | 40% | 0% | 100% | 40% |
| Loses | 33% | 100% | 60% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
KungsängenDLLDL
KorsnäsLDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Kungsängen | Korsnäs | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kungsängen | Korsnäs | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 20% | 80% | 80% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 60% | 20% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 40% | 20% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kungsängen | Korsnäs | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kungsängen | Korsnäs |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kungsängen | Korsnäs |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 3-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kungsängen | Korsnäs |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 43.3% | 56.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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