Sun, May 3 2026 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.92)
1.51 (league 1.66)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.1% | 25.4% | 43.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Lidingö | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bollstanäs | 0 | 6.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Bollstanäs carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 147 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Bollstanäs -5.2, Lidingö -44.2.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Bollstanäs
vs
Lidingö
Elo gapBollstanäs +147
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share70%
Combined Elo3023.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3023.9
Elo home share
70%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Bollstanäs | Lidingö |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1568 | 1455.9 |
| Form Elo | 1562.3 | 1414.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1528.3 | 1481.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1664.6 | 1479.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1476.1 | 1447 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -5.2 | -44.2 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Bollstanäs last-5 Elo change: -5.2; Lidingö last-5 Elo change: -44.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bollstanäs | Lidingö |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 7% |
| Attack | 44% | 20% |
| Defense | 56% | 48% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bollstanäs | Lidingö | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 67% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 40% | 50% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 20% | 50% | 100% | 80% |
BollstanäsWLWDD
LidingöLDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Bollstanäs | Lidingö | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bollstanäs | Lidingö | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 80% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 80% | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 40% | 0% | 60% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bollstanäs | Lidingö | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bollstanäs | Lidingö |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bollstanäs | Lidingö |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | — | 1-5 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bollstanäs | Lidingö |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 89% | 11% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 65.3% | 34.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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