Division 2 - Östra Götaland — Sweden
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

IFK Trelleborg

—

Karlshamn

Expected Goals
2.99 (league 1.67) 0.64 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.8% 10.8% 5.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.8%
3 - 0
11.8%
4 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Karlshamn
0 1 2 3 4 5
IFK Trelleborg 0 2.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.8% 5.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.8% 7.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.8% 7.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.8% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

IFK Trelleborg carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 141 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: IFK Trelleborg -4.5, Karlshamn -44.5.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
IFK Trelleborg Elo 1538.1 · -4.5
vs
Karlshamn Elo 1432 · -44.5
Elo gapIFK Trelleborg +141
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share69%
Combined Elo2970.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2970.1
Elo home share 69%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric IFK Trelleborg Karlshamn
Overall Elo1538.11432
Form Elo1525.91381.7
Home / Away Elo1519.31466.6
Attack Elo1626.21441.6
Defense Elo1458.81443.1
Last 5 Elo change-4.5-44.5

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. IFK Trelleborg last-5 Elo change: -4.5; Karlshamn last-5 Elo change: -44.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIFK TrelleborgKarlshamn
Played44
Form42%0%
Attack31%15%
Defense77%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 12 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.87 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric IFK Trelleborg Karlshamn
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%0%0%0%
Draws50%50%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%25%100%100%100%
IFK TrelleborgWDDL
KarlshamnLLLL

League goals

Metric IFK Trelleborg Karlshamn
HATHAT
GF total404022
GF avg2.00.01.00.01.00.5
GA total213257
GA avg1.00.50.81.02.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIFK TrelleborgKarlshamn
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%50%100%
1.525%0%0%50%
2.525%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIFK TrelleborgKarlshamn
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score022202

Penalties

MetricIFK TrelleborgKarlshamn
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricIFK TrelleborgKarlshamn
Wins10
Draws20
Losses04

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1———
Biggest losses—1-00-13-1
Goals For3001
Goals Against1113

Model comparison

MetricIFK TrelleborgKarlshamn
Form100%0%
Att67%33%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h36%64%
Goals54%46%
Total62.2%37.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • IFK Trelleborg vs Karlshamn