Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
3.59 (league 1.67)
0.64 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.0% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
best score tips
3 - 0
11.2%
4 - 0
10.0%
2 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Staffanstorp United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sölvesborg | 0 | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.0% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Sölvesborg carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 91 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sölvesborg -1.3, Staffanstorp United -39.0.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Sölvesborg
vs
Staffanstorp United
Elo gapSölvesborg +91
Home / draw / away50% / 20% / 30%
Expected home share63%
Combined Elo2999.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2999.8
Elo home share
63%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Sölvesborg | Staffanstorp United |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1528.1 | 1471.7 |
| Form Elo | 1526.1 | 1424.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1511.3 | 1493.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1647.4 | 1521.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1429.7 | 1436.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -1.3 | -39.0 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Sölvesborg last-5 Elo change: -1.3; Staffanstorp United last-5 Elo change: -39.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sölvesborg | Staffanstorp United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 50% | 8% |
| Attack | 85% | 31% |
| Defense | 38% | 15% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.8 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 2 | 11 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
81%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
86%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sölvesborg | Staffanstorp United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
SölvesborgLWWL
Staffanstorp UnitedLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Sölvesborg | Staffanstorp United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 2.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sölvesborg | Staffanstorp United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 75% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 50% | 0% | 75% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sölvesborg | Staffanstorp United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sölvesborg | Staffanstorp United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sölvesborg | Staffanstorp United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-5 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sölvesborg | Staffanstorp United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 87% | 13% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 76.0% | 24.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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