Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.67) 1.55 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.2% 25.3% 59.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.1%
0 - 2
14.0%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Karlskrona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Växjö Norra 0 11.7% 18.1% 14.0% 7.2% 2.8% 0.9%
1 7.0% 10.9% 8.4% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5%
2 2.1% 3.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Växjö Norra +30.9, Karlskrona +27.7.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone
Växjö Norra Elo 1546.1 · +30.9
vs
Karlskrona Elo 1577.1 · +27.7
Elo gapVäxjö Norra +4
Home / draw / away36% / 30% / 34%
Expected home share51%
Combined Elo3123.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band Thin confidence
Upset risk High
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3123.2
Elo home share 51%
Match tone Must Watch
Metric Växjö Norra Karlskrona
Overall Elo1546.11577.1
Form Elo1577.31608.4
Home / Away Elo1520.51537.1
Attack Elo1596.21656.4
Defense Elo1552.41504.6
Last 5 Elo change+30.9+27.7

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Växjö Norra last-5 Elo change: +30.9; Karlskrona last-5 Elo change: +27.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVäxjö NorraKarlskrona
Played44
Form83%83%
Attack35%53%
Defense82%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.59 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.83 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Växjö Norra Karlskrona
HATHAT
Played134224
Wins100%67%75%50%100%75%
Draws0%33%25%50%0%25%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%
Växjö NorraWWWD
KarlskronaWDWW

League goals

Metric Växjö Norra Karlskrona
HATHAT
GF total156369
GF avg1.01.71.51.53.02.3
GA total033123
GA avg0.01.00.80.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVäxjö NorraKarlskrona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%75%75%
1.550%25%75%0%
2.525%0%75%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVäxjö NorraKarlskrona
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricVäxjö NorraKarlskrona
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVäxjö NorraKarlskrona
Wins31
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-33-11-3
Biggest losses
Goals For1333
Goals Against0211

Model comparison

MetricVäxjö NorraKarlskrona
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals14%86%
Total38.5%61.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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