Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.67)
0.64 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.4% | 35.7% | 24.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
21.4%
1 - 0
19.2%
0 - 1
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Lilla Torg | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Linero | 0 | 21.4% | 13.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.2% | 12.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Linero carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 22 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Linero +11.3, Lilla Torg -12.0.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Linero
vs
Lilla Torg
Elo gapLinero +22
Home / draw / away38% / 27% / 35%
Expected home share53%
Combined Elo2920.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2920.4
Elo home share
53%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Linero | Lilla Torg |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1453.7 | 1466.7 |
| Form Elo | 1467.8 | 1462.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1465.6 | 1492.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1505.2 | 1446.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1411.9 | 1406 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +11.3 | -12.0 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Linero last-5 Elo change: +11.3; Lilla Torg last-5 Elo change: -12.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Linero | Lilla Torg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 50% | 33% |
| Attack | 46% | 15% |
| Defense | 62% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 2 | 0.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 8 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Linero | Lilla Torg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 100% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
LineroWLLW
Lilla TorgLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Linero | Lilla Torg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Linero | Lilla Torg | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 50% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Linero | Lilla Torg | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Linero | Lilla Torg |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Linero | Lilla Torg |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-5 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Linero | Lilla Torg |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 64.8% | 35.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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