Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 10:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.99)
0.33 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.4% | 39.1% | 13.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
29.8%
1 - 0
26.2%
2 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Karlslund | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Smedby | 0 | 29.8% | 9.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.2% | 8.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.5% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Smedby carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 95 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Smedby +49.2, Karlslund -5.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Smedby
vs
Karlslund
Elo gapSmedby +95
Home / draw / away51% / 19% / 30%
Expected home share63%
Combined Elo3024.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3024.3
Elo home share
63%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Smedby | Karlslund |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1541.9 | 1482.4 |
| Form Elo | 1595.7 | 1470.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1502.5 | 1506.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1664.1 | 1462.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1380.2 | 1518.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +49.2 | -5.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Smedby last-5 Elo change: +49.2; Karlslund last-5 Elo change: -5.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Smedby | Karlslund |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 3 |
| Form | 100% | 44% |
| Attack | 62% | 10% |
| Defense | 86% | 90% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 3.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Smedby | Karlslund | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
SmedbyWWWW
KarlslundDWL
League goals
| Metric | Smedby | Karlslund | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Smedby | Karlslund | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Smedby | Karlslund | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Smedby | Karlslund |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Smedby | Karlslund |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-6 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Smedby | Karlslund |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 87% | 13% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 69.2% | 30.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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