Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 18:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.99)
1.00 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.2% | 21.1% | 18.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
10.0%
1 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Syrianska FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Farsta | 0 | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Farsta carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 57 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Farsta -16.6, Syrianska FC +4.1.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Farsta
vs
Syrianska FC
Elo gapFarsta +57
Home / draw / away44% / 24% / 32%
Expected home share58%
Combined Elo2958
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2958
Elo home share
58%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Farsta | Syrianska FC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1489.8 | 1468.2 |
| Form Elo | 1469 | 1464.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1540.6 | 1499.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1659.7 | 1487 |
| Defense Elo | 1430.3 | 1320.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -16.6 | +4.1 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Farsta last-5 Elo change: -16.6; Syrianska FC last-5 Elo change: +4.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Farsta | Syrianska FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 25% | 58% |
| Attack | 43% | 29% |
| Defense | 57% | 52% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 2.3 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 2.3 | 10 | 2.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
81%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Farsta | Syrianska FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 75% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
FarstaLWLL
Syrianska FCDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Farsta | Syrianska FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 4.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Farsta | Syrianska FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 50% | 50% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Farsta | Syrianska FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Farsta | Syrianska FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Farsta | Syrianska FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | — | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | 0-7 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Farsta | Syrianska FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 45.0% | 55.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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