Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.99) 0.59 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.3% 19.2% 9.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.0%
1 - 0
15.0%
3 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Galtabacks
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dalstorps 0 7.4% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.0% 8.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.0% 8.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.1% 5.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.1% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home lean

Dalstorps carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 23 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Dalstorps +0.1, Galtabacks +3.7.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Dalstorps Elo 1491.9 · +0.1
vs
Galtabacks Elo 1503.6 · +3.7
Elo gapDalstorps +23
Home / draw / away39% / 27% / 34%
Expected home share53%
Combined Elo2995.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2995.5
Elo home share 53%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Dalstorps Galtabacks
Overall Elo1491.91503.6
Form Elo1495.91497.1
Home / Away Elo15061500.7
Attack Elo1498.81545.3
Defense Elo1497.31504.5
Last 5 Elo change+0.1+3.7

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Dalstorps last-5 Elo change: +0.1; Galtabacks last-5 Elo change: +3.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDalstorpsGaltabacks
Played44
Form42%50%
Attack60%100%
Defense60%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.510 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 16 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dalstorps Galtabacks
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%50%50%50%
Draws50%50%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%25%50%50%50%
DalstorpsDLWD
GaltabacksWWLL

League goals

Metric Dalstorps Galtabacks
HATHAT
GF total4266410
GF avg2.01.01.53.02.02.5
GA total134246
GA avg0.51.51.01.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDalstorpsGaltabacks
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%75%100%
1.525%25%75%25%
2.525%0%25%25%
3.525%0%25%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDalstorpsGaltabacks
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricDalstorpsGaltabacks
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDalstorpsGaltabacks
Wins12
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—6-11-2
Biggest losses—2-10-13-2
Goals For4162
Goals Against1213

Model comparison

MetricDalstorpsGaltabacks
Form45%55%
Att38%63%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total55.8%44.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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