Fri, May 1 2026 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.98) 1.19 (league 1.68)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.9% 28.9% 39.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Torslanda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Böljan 0 11.0% 13.2% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.6% 6.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home lean

Böljan carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 38 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Böljan +8.4, Torslanda +16.8.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Böljan Elo 1447.1 · +8.4
vs
Torslanda Elo 1443.8 · +16.8
Elo gapBöljan +38
Home / draw / away41% / 26% / 33%
Expected home share55%
Combined Elo2890.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2890.9
Elo home share 55%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Böljan Torslanda
Overall Elo1447.11443.8
Form Elo1448.91464.5
Home / Away Elo14681446.1
Attack Elo1453.51471.1
Defense Elo1367.51320.8
Last 5 Elo change+8.4+16.8

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Böljan last-5 Elo change: +8.4; Torslanda last-5 Elo change: +16.8.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBöljanTorslanda
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack58%58%
Defense33%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Böljan Torslanda
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%67%0%40%
Draws0%33%20%0%100%40%
Loses50%33%40%33%0%20%
BöljanWWLLD
TorslandaDLDWW

League goals

Metric Böljan Torslanda
HATHAT
GF total437527
GF avg2.01.01.41.71.01.4
GA total448527
GA avg2.01.31.61.71.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBöljanTorslanda
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%80%60%
1.560%40%60%40%
2.50%40%0%20%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBöljanTorslanda
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricBöljanTorslanda
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBöljanTorslanda
Wins20
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-22-0
Biggest losses2-33-01-4
Goals For2222
Goals Against3342

Model comparison

MetricBöljanTorslanda
Form47%53%
Att50%50%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total48.0%52.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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