Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 14:15 •
Ashton Gate Stadium
Expected Goals
2.00 (league 1.25)
0.27 (league 1.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.6% | 16.7% | 4.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.7%
2 - 0
20.7%
3 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Manchester United W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chelsea W | 0 | 10.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.7% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.7% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.8% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chelsea W | Manchester United W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 100% | 100% |
| Attack | 48% | 14% |
| Defense | 95% | 95% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chelsea W | Manchester United W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | — | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | — | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | — | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Chelsea W: WW • Manchester United W: WW
League goals
| Metric | Chelsea W | Manchester United W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chelsea W | Manchester United W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chelsea W | Manchester United W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chelsea W | Manchester United W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chelsea W | Manchester United W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-9 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 9 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chelsea W | Manchester United W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 77% | 23% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 70.0% | 30.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Chelsea W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chelsea W = 2.00 (league 1.25), Manchester United W = 0.27 (league 1.88)
| Manchester United W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chelsea W | 0 | 10.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.7% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 20.7% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.8% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.6% · Draw 16.7% · Away win 4.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1