Wed, Feb 18 2026 • 16:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.51) 0.38 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.9% 53.1% 23.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
45.8%
1 - 0
18.1%
0 - 1
17.6%
Score & goals probability table
Ancona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pistoiese 0 45.8% 17.6% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.1% 7.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPistoieseAncona
Played55
Form100%87%
Attack100%78%
Defense78%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pistoiese Ancona
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins100%100%100%75%100%86%
Draws0%0%0%25%0%14%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Pistoiese: WWWWWWW • Ancona: WWWWWDW

League goals

Metric Pistoiese Ancona
HATHAT
GF total61016549
GF avg2.02.52.31.31.31.3
GA total134213
GA avg0.30.80.60.50.30.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePistoieseAncona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%57%100%43%
1.586%0%29%0%
2.543%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPistoieseAncona
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPistoieseAncona
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 62.50%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 37.50%
Total38

Streaks

MetricPistoieseAncona
Wins75
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-32-11-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For3322
Goals Against1111

Model comparison

MetricPistoieseAncona
Form54%46%
Att61%39%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Pistoiese or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ William Hill
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away4.16 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ William Hill
No1.74 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pistoiese = 0.40 (league 1.51), Ancona = 0.38 (league 1.01)

Ancona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pistoiese 0 45.8% 17.6% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.1% 7.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.9% · Draw 53.1% · Away win 23.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1