Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio del Conero
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.51)
1.30 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.2% | 29.1% | 59.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
23.8%
0 - 0
18.3%
0 - 2
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Pistoiese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ancona | 0 | 18.3% | 23.8% | 15.5% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ancona | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 100% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 38% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ancona | Pistoiese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 60% | 75% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 20% | 25% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Ancona: WWWWWDWLL • Pistoiese: WWWWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Ancona | Pistoiese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ancona | Pistoiese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 56% | 100% | 44% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 11% | 78% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ancona | Pistoiese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ancona | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 62.50% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 3 | 37.50% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 8 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ancona | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ancona | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 17% | 83% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 28.8% | 71.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Pistoiese and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ancona = 0.40 (league 1.51), Pistoiese = 1.30 (league 1.01)
| Pistoiese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ancona | 0 | 18.3% | 23.8% | 15.5% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.2% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 59.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1